Russian propaganda is preparing the public for a ten-year war

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) recently reported on a disturbing development in Russian media narratives regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Rhetoric suggests that the war may continue for another decade with the ultimate goal of destroying the Ukrainian state by 2034.

Medvedev's bold statements

Dmytro Medvedev, deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, has been at the forefront of this narrative. In a recent statement, he suggested that Ukraine may not exist as a state by 2034. He connected this with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg's remark that Ukraine could join the alliance within the next decade. Medvedev interpreted this as an unlikely scenario, hinting that significant geopolitical changes could occur by then, including the breakup of Ukraine.

Media amplification

Russian state media quickly amplified Medvedev's claims, with headlines proclaiming the alleged end of Ukraine by 2034. These propaganda efforts appear to be aimed at shaping public expectations of a protracted conflict, presenting it as a necessary and inevitable path to Russia's goals.

Preparation for a long conflict

ISW analysts emphasize that such narratives create public readiness for a protracted war, promising Russia's ultimate victory. That flies in the face of any isolated diplomatic signals from some Kremlin officials suggesting potential peace talks.

Consequences for Ukraine and the West

These aggressive statements of the Russian leadership emphasize the improbability of peace negotiations in the current conditions. For Ukraine and its Western allies, this means continued vigilance and readiness for permanent protection against Russian aggression.

As the Russian government continues to spread messages about the decade-long conflict, the international community must recognize and address these narratives. Understanding these propaganda efforts is critical to formulating responses to support Ukraine and counter Russian disinformation.

Additional source of information ISW

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